Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 55.643874 63.576612 71.727444 80.693477 90.245798 100.087456 110.962877
2026-01-04 44.436290 55.834744 68.116388 82.188783 97.732857 114.257800 133.037786
2026-01-11 36.669754 49.772951 64.426194 81.726820 101.323646 122.596100 147.208680
2026-01-18 30.730312 44.922599 61.352609 81.271694 104.320863 129.771892 159.642384
2026-01-25 26.485642 41.512529 59.466397 81.740459 107.980216 137.360901 172.238005
2026-02-01 22.427081 37.857666 56.904543 81.078840 110.048752 142.910601 182.327987
2026-02-08 19.270862 35.002691 55.037262 81.001918 112.594754 148.839047 192.701659
2026-02-15 16.219978 31.946534 52.655329 80.075040 113.948131 153.238761 201.195115
2026-02-22 14.371636 30.359673 52.011297 81.178332 117.641021 160.295401 212.695293
2026-03-01 12.874447 29.115061 51.699769 82.607008 121.657682 167.681192 224.538849
2026-03-08 10.761158 26.688432 49.620660 81.633116 122.612290 171.346406 231.959372
2026-03-15 8.710885 24.084620 47.107273 79.942903 122.557000 173.709415 237.767780
2026-03-22 8.235595 24.085133 48.290786 83.172144 128.735263 183.664909 252.671117
2026-03-29 7.392055 23.339783 48.339100 84.848504 132.932915 191.219382 264.732710
2026-04-05 6.120144 21.625458 46.844322 84.350141 134.292942 195.268717 272.571814
2026-04-12 5.020808 20.047827 45.440680 83.892093 135.642120 199.259288 280.305485
2026-04-19 4.244828 18.985469 44.751008 84.368204 138.161005 204.662540 289.720110
2026-04-26 3.365251 17.504774 43.297002 83.695074 139.125128 208.102500 296.733014
2026-05-03 2.702838 16.361873 42.302755 83.616761 140.829360 212.433623 304.805330
2026-05-10 2.021100 14.952020 40.760024 82.673448 141.333492 215.226221 310.975457
2026-05-17 1.688617 14.409682 40.649544 83.796300 144.581490 221.457056 321.342873
2026-05-24 1.432194 14.020329 40.774935 85.250128 148.265206 228.234331 332.381660
2026-05-31 0.985551 12.780690 39.301085 84.259111 148.602680 230.747709 338.161690